Since 2019, Tesla has been among the volatile US stocks. Its current beta coefficient is 2.29. This company is valued primarily by adherents of trading. It provides an opportunity to make a quick profit.
Tesla pays no dividends. Its stock is not proper for those who are interested in passive income. It is unlikely to become a good dividend story for the company in the foreseeable future.
Tesla is an option to add to the portfolio of a passive long-term investor. But only on condition that the person has a high risk tolerance.
Today, Tesla quotes are under the influence of bears. Market pessimism is primarily due to external factors. But the latest results of the company turned out to be lower than the market expected. Technical analysis indicates a high probability of maintaining the downtrend.
Price for 12/03/2024 - 357.09 USD
Least possible price, $ |
Best possible price, $ |
|
Price at the end of 2024 |
358 |
462 |
Price for next year 2025 |
317 |
813 |
Long-term price 2025-2030 |
317 |
1453 |
The quotations forecast for the nearest month is bullish. Based on BeatMarket analysts' opinion, the stock may rise to historical maximum by the end of December 2024. The most pessimistic Wall Street predictions assume that quotations will fall. Their authors indicate a price of $25.
There was a steady uptrend on the Tesla chart in the second half of 2024. The quotations reached the level of $345.16 in the last days of November. The key technical analysis tools give identical recommendations. On high time frames from 1D to MN1 the consensus forecast is "strong buy".
The following should be taken into consideration:
on time frame 1H indicator STOCHRSI(14) and several other give sell signal;
the RSI has almost entered the overbought zone;
the 1H timeframe shows a «Deliberation Bearish» bearish candlestick pattern with medium reliability.
All this indicates the probability of the trend changing. Traders, who are used to trading against the market, may consider it to be positive signals.
On November 29, the current price is near to resistance. The uptrend can be broken. The nearest support is at the level of 332.5.
Tesla has been steadily increasing its revenue since 2016. But only at the end of 2020, the company managed to demonstrate its net profit. In subsequent years, this indicator has been steadily growing. For more financial data, please refer to the table below.
The investing.com platform reports that Tesla's current P/E multiple is almost 3.5 times the industry average. But it should be taken into account that this company is significantly different from other carmakers.
ROE is considered one of the most attractive of all Tesla's multiples. Its value for the last 12 months exceeds the average for 5 years. Other key parameters are given below.
Tesla quotes are quite volatile. The financial situation of the company is influenced by many factors. The company works with high-tech products. Therefore, it is quite difficult to make forecasts on its value.
Experts disagree even on which way the quotes will go. Most Wall Street analysts have positive feelings. The most famous bulls are Ronald Baron and Cathie Wood. They are confident that Tesla will be able to consolidate above $1000 in the next 5 years. The most optimistic forecasts suggest that the stock will rise above $2500.
But there is also a bearish scenario. Its authors promise a short-term growth of quotations in the coming years. It will be followed by a return to the levels below $220 per stock in 2029.
Bullish factors that will support the price in the next 5 years:
expanding the model range through the budget segment;
strengthening of the energy production and storage business;
opportunities to introduce new products;
growth in demand for the company's products due to popularization of green energy.
The weakness remains the rather high cost of production. The business clearly does not work for the broad market. There are analysts who believe that Chinese companies will be able to bypass Tesla.
But this opinion is not shared by everyone. Among those who disagree are Adam Jonas at Morgan Stanley. In 2023, he expressed confidence that Tesla will maintain its leadership in the coming years.
Some experts believe that the currently quoted price level is overstated. They believe this is due to the public's interest in Ilon Musk's personality. If he leaves or loses popularity, the value of the company will decrease.
BeatMarket specialists do not consider the current value to be fundamentally unreasonable. We believe that Tesla may reach new heights in the next 5 years. At the same time, we do not support the $2500 and above scenario. Our forecast for today is a moderate growth of quotations.
Most analysts expect Tesla shares to rise in price in December 2024. This is due to 2 factors. The key is Trump's victory. Investors are waiting for legislative changes that will benefit the company. The second reason is the traditional Christmas rally on the stock exchange.
$311-$461 - by Longforecast;
$345-$486 - by Coincodex;
$459 - by Coinpriceforecast.
Regular price, $ |
Least possible price, $ |
Best possible price, $ |
|
December, 2024 |
396.63 |
381.20 |
412.05 |
The company had a bad start to 2024. External factors influenced its quotations. First of all, these are logistics issues due to the events in the Red Sea. Another negative news is falling market share. In the fourth quarter of 2023, Tesla was second to BYD in terms of the number of electric cars sold. But in second half of the year the situation has changed.
Leading stock analysts have no consensus on Tesla's prospects. According to the data provided by stockanalysis.com, the expected price of TSLA by the next 12 months:
minimum, $24.86;
medium, $228.97;
maximum, $400.
UBS calls the average target price for TSLA at $226. And JWedbush believes that the quotes will be up to $400. The reason for the positive prediction is the expectation of further development of Tesla's Autopilot and Full Self-Driving.
According to investing.com, Analysts 12-Month Price Target is $233.16.
The forecast for 12 months is presented in the table below.
Regular price, $ |
Least possible price, $ |
Best possible price, $ |
|
January, 2025 |
411.32 |
381.20 |
412.05 |
February, 2025 |
448.08 |
416.85 |
448.24 |
March, 2025 |
472.17 |
455.34 |
485.20 |
April, 2025 |
491.22 |
468.19 |
492.48 |
May, 2025 |
527.55 |
491.78 |
530.25 |
June, 2025 |
555.41 |
533.94 |
558.35 |
July, 2025 |
597.51 |
560.93 |
598.73 |
August, 2025 |
656.69 |
598.99 |
656.97 |
September, 2025 |
673.48 |
654.84 |
679.11 |
October, 2025 |
744.72 |
673.36 |
772.78 |
November, 2025 |
771.21 |
720.98 |
774.37 |
December, 2025 |
786.21 |
772.27 |
800.70 |
Forecasts for 2026 are even more variable. Tesla's final stock price will depend heavily on its 2024-2025 financial results. The factor of Ilon Musk's personality will retain its influence on the quotations. The macroeconomic situation in the world will be no less important for the price formation.
Here is a brief overview of Tesla stock price forecasts by the end of 2026:
$125-$335 - by Coincodex;
$287 - by Walletinvestor;
$718 - by Longforecast;
$763 - by Coinpriceforecast.
BeatMarket experts are optimistic about the company's future. We believe that by the end of 2026 the quotes will exceed the prices of the end of 2024. A more detailed forecast is available below.
Regular price, $ |
Least possible price, $ |
Best possible price, $ |
|
January |
875.04 |
793.36 |
879.38 |
February |
934.37 |
870.35 |
934.37 |
March |
1,001.02 |
913.18 |
1,014.96 |
April |
1,014.72 |
997.12 |
1,041.14 |
May |
995.50 |
945.57 |
1,016.18 |
June |
1,025.80 |
982.90 |
1,036.18 |
July |
1,025.36 |
1,015.33 |
1,067.09 |
August |
1,055.00 |
1,016.84 |
1,059.40 |
September |
1,099.34 |
1,055.27 |
1,108.36 |
October |
1,136.31 |
1,098.71 |
1,145.59 |
November |
1,171.44 |
1,131.02 |
1,173.00 |
December |
1,213.35 |
1,173.33 |
1,221.19 |
The outlook for Tesla stock is moderately optimistic for a relatively long period. Ark Invest and Ron Baron are known for their bullish views on the company's future. They promise that the $2000 mark will be conquered in the coming years. Other experts give moderate bullish or bearish predictions:
$470 by Сoincodex;
$928 - by Longforecast;
$947 by Coinpriceforecast.
Relative pessimism is demonstrated by analysts of Walletinvestor platform. According to their data, the price of TSLA in December 2027 will range from $260 to $269.
The reason for such discrepancies is the varying opinions that experts have on the pace of electric vehicle adoption. Also, some analysts are betting on Chinese competitors. They believe that BYD will soon surpass Tesla in key parameters.
Regular price, $ |
Least possible price, $ |
Best possible price, $ |
|
January |
1,281.01 |
1,215.12 |
1,281.11 |
February |
1,379.72 |
1,298.24 |
1,403.74 |
March |
1,340.21 |
1,332.37 |
1,408.84 |
April |
1,402.15 |
1,330.46 |
1,449.21 |
May |
1,382.97 |
1,327.74 |
1,414.94 |
June |
1,383.28 |
1,325.73 |
1,400.48 |
July |
1,485.98 |
1,367.33 |
1,498.37 |
August |
1,484.72 |
1,468.34 |
1,522.53 |
September |
1,431.56 |
1,383.62 |
1,491.64 |
October |
1,418.04 |
1,409.97 |
1,454.02 |
November |
1,474.96 |
1,431.34 |
1,479.18 |
December |
1,552.88 |
1,454.96 |
1,560.73 |
The platform stockanalysis.com presented forecasts on Tesla's financial performance. According to them, the company's EPS will be in the range of $6.8-$9.86 in 2028. This allows us to expect the stock to grow in value.
The most experts are much moderately optimistic:
Gov Capital service expects quotations within the range of $678-$828 by the end of December 2028.
Walletinvestor experts give a bearish prediction. In their opinion, TSLA stock price will fall to $233-$241.
BeatMarket analysts believe that the company will be able to increase its financial performance. Therefore, its stock price will grow. But we do not expect the company to consolidate above the level of $2000.
Analysts estimate that Tesla's profit will grow by about 15% per year over the next three to five years. Robotaxy can increase these rates. With these expectations being met, the company's stock price will also rise.
Regular price, $ |
Least possible price, $ |
Best possible price, $ |
|
January |
1,545.98 |
1,541.85 |
1,573.25 |
February |
1,563.95 |
1,547.25 |
1,606.77 |
March |
1,554.89 |
1,514.32 |
1,561.93 |
April |
1,533.13 |
1,515.93 |
1,570.48 |
May |
1,502.08 |
1,499.95 |
1,560.65 |
June |
1,535.27 |
1,492.20 |
1,538.53 |
July |
1,621.66 |
1,541.85 |
1,638.77 |
August |
1,626.87 |
1,618.11 |
1,654.89 |
September |
1,661.41 |
1,623.07 |
1,679.04 |
October |
1,669.33 |
1,645.91 |
1,677.50 |
November |
1,741.89 |
1,671.56 |
1,745.17 |
December |
1,812.62 |
1,746.19 |
1,822.11 |
The long-term Tesla price outlook is bullish. The vast majority of experts believe the company will remain the leader by 2050. Ronald Baron and Cathie Wood are the most optimistic. In their bullish forecasts, they point to the possibility of multiple price growth. In fact, it is expected to happen within the next 10 years. Its brand recognition is cited as its key advantage. In addition, its strengths include:
Advanced production technologies. The company is constantly investing in development.
Product line expansion, introduction of budget models.
Additional services. For example, Supercharger - a network of charging stations designed for vehicles of other manufacturers.
But the company also has its own risks. The key one is the rise in prices for components and raw materials. Many non-ferrous metals required for electric cars are expected to be in short supply. The business will be adversely affected by the global economic deterioration and a decline in consumer spending.
Tesla’s stock is a volatile asset. It is difficult to predict its price accurately. Therefore, the experts' predictions vary greatly. Some analysts promise a twofold growth by the end of 2024. Others believe that in the near future the bullish trend in quotations will be broken. They argue their position because of the conflict with NHTSA.
On the horizon of 5 years and more, experts predict a steady growth of capitalisation. There are opinions that the price of Tesla stock will cross the threshold of $1000 already in 2027-2028.
Even pessimists call the company a good long-term investment. The minimum growth rate that it is promised is 10-11% of average annual growth.
Experts believe that Tesla inc. will retain its position in the rating of the largest companies. The stock price forecast is mostly bullish by the end of 2030. But the target price levels differ significantly. The following numbers can be found:
pessimistic statements — $329;
moderate scenario — $750-$1000;
highest expectations — $1500.
The moderate prediction was made by Ronald Baron, the founder of Baron Capital Management. The asset looks favorable based on even moderate Tesla stock price forecasts. They predict a growth of almost 10 times relative to the current price.
The main risk during this period will be volatility in the stock market. The problems in the global economy may turn out to be a significant negative factor.
Goldman Sachs Research expects sales of electric vehicles to grow. As early as the middle of the next decade, they will occupy half of the passenger vehicle market. By 2040, the demand for them will amount to more than 70 million units per year.
Tesla is called the main beneficiary of this process. This allows experts to give a positive revenue forecast for the company. But there are also analysts offering a pessimistic scenario. They believe that this business has already passed its explosive growth phase.
The following figures can be seen in the forecasts for Tesla:
pessimistic statements - $560;
average analysts' expectations - $4,645;
optimistic scenario - $15,378.
The main risk is a slowdown in the electric vehicle market. But The Motley Fool has included Tesla among the 4 stocks that will be the most expensive by 2040.
In order to make price forecasts over long horizons, data extrapolation is used. TSLA quotations throughout history behaved ambiguously. The issuer is also characterized by rapid price movements. Therefore, the predictions have a strong variation depending on the algorithm used.
The predictions indicate the following targets:
the expected low is $762.84;
optimistic predictions - $5,878;
mega optimistic view - $53,215.
Experts do not name levels that would be a moderate scenario. All the forecasts can be divided into 2 types. Optimistic - Tesla gives more than 60% per year. Pessimistic - yield at the bond level.
The main risk is competitors with new technologies and market loss.
Tesla inc. was founded in 2003 by Martin Eberhard and Marc Tarpenning. It is engaged in the development of electric vehicles and energy generation and storage systems.
The IPO on Nasdaq took place in 2010. It had splits in 2020 and 2022. Today TSLA stock is a part of 16 indices, including the Nasdaq 100 and the S&P 500. The largest shareholder is Ilon Musk. He owns almost 13%. Another 38.5% is held by institutional investors.
The business model is based on the D2C principle. The company excludes the participation of intermediaries and operates directly with the consumer. More than 80% of profit comes from the distribution of electric vehicles. The rest is revenue generated from auxiliary components:
technical support services;
vehicle leasing;
charging stations;
solar panels.
Tesla also makes money from the sale of automotive regulatory credits.
The business primarily targets the premium segment and affluent consumers. Relatively budget models have been added to the line-up recently.
In addition to those listed above, there is another type of company's activity. This is scientific research. The management invests huge amounts in the development of digital technologies. The key area of research is unmanned driving. No less important are the activities in the field of energy. They provide support from the government.
For many experts, however, Ilon Musk is the key success factor. Namely his ability to both anticipate the desires of consumers and infect people with ideas. Thanks to this, the company has become the leader of the "green revolution" in the automotive segment.
Tesla Price History Chart
For most investors, the decision to buy or sell is based on fundamentals. Revenue growth, net income and earnings per stock (EPS) are matters. When they turn out to be worse than the market expects, quotes fall. When there is a strong financial report, the value of the company rises.
Tesla’s stock price is highly dependent on buyers' ability to pay. Electric vehicles are still a premium product. If the economic situation worsens, the demand for them may fall. Therefore, the company's quotations are affected by all factors that reduce the customers' income.
Electric vehicle manufacturers are one of the main beneficiaries of carbon dioxide emission reduction policies. The revenues and market value of the business directly depend on the strength of the eco-activists' position. A possible slowdown in the transition to green transport is a risk factor for the company.
TSLA quotations are strongly influenced by news. Reports of new support measures from the government lead to growth. The same effect is produced by statements of famous investors about their faith in the company. Ilon Musk's tweets and statements can radically affect the stock price.
Most analysts give a bullish price of Tesla stock prediction. And both in the short term and in the long term. Although there are opinions that the company will face problems in the coming years. The latter will lead to a decline in its value. But even moderate outlooks for 2050 make TSLA an attractive asset.
Tesla stock price outlooks for 2025 are contradictory. Most experts believe that the quotes will continue to grow. Analyst price targets are in the range of $400 - $800. But there are outlooks that the value will fall. Some authors believe that by the end of the year the level of $25 will be reached.
As of November 30, 2024, the market capitalization was $1.107 trillion. Tesla is the seventh largest company in the United States. In the world classification, it ranks eighth. The historical maximum of the indicator was in November 2021. It amounted to $1.23 trillion.
The company reports its financial results every 3 months. The amount of profit for Q4 2024 will be announced on January 22, 2025. The results of the first quarter of 2024 will be known in mid-April. The second one will be in the twentieth of July. Another reporting date is in October.
According to the Peter Lynch formula, the fair value is calculated as follows Fair Value = Earnings Growth Rate x TTM EPS. In this case for Tesla it is $99.24 However, many experts believe that this valuation method is not appropriate for technology companies.
Seja treinado em uma comunidade de pessoas com ideias semelhantes e você será capaz de avançar passo a passo para um novo nível de investimento!
Junte-se a nossa comunidadeFeito