The CAD to US Dollar forecast (USD) for the coming weeks is expected to remain negative. The CAD is likely to depreciate. The reason for these changes is a possible divergence with the Fed's policy, as well as a slowdown in the economy. The existing analyst rating on the CAD dollars is Sell.
On 22-12-2024, the CAD to USD forecast for the day is negative. Traders are pessimistic about the Canadian dollar forecast (CAD) exchange rate. There is a high probability that the cost of CAD dollars will decrease.
Daily fluctuations in the value of Canadian dollar (CAD) against the US Dollars (USD) are insignificant. For example, on Friday, June 14, 2024, the local high for CAD was only 0.378% higher than the local low. The weak volatility makes this currency pair not the most suitable for trading.
The CAD dollar Forecast based on technical indicators on the older timeframes is negative:
The CAD Dollar Forecast is bullish on the shorter time frames. On the hourly and 30 minutes charts, the moving averages are giving buy signals. The Williams and Bull/Bear Power(13) indicators also point to the possibility of CAD dollars appreciation.
By all indications, the movement within the narrow corridor will continue. In case of a bullish trend, the 0.76923 USD level will be a strong resistance.
There are several variations of the CAD to USD forecast for the coming 5 years. But they are all bearish. No financial service has a dollar forecast for the CAD (Canadian dollar) to strengthen against the USD dollars.
The main arguments of the authors of the bearish CAD Dollar Forecast:
Analysts are not optimistic about the CAD dollars even in the face of rising oil demand.
Another important factor is that the CAD to USD forecast is updated by extrapolating past data. And since May 2021, the value of the CAD dollars has been in a downtrend.
At the same time, the Canadian dollar forecast (CAD) was more optimistic a year ago. Experts pointed to US inflation data. Their high rates weaken the USD dollars.
Some authors argue that the CAD is currently undervalued. But even they do not offer a bullish CAD to USD forecast.
Many analysts have a negative Canadian Dollar forecast (CAD dollars) in 2025. The main reason for the Canadian dollars weakness is the likelihood that the Bank of Canada will do a rate cut. Another negative factor for the CAD dollars is lagging economic indicators.
Month | Minimum expected exchange rate | Maximum expected exchange rate | Change of average exchange rate, % |
February | 0.698 USD | 0.70024 USD | +0.49 |
March | 0.694 USD | 0.698 USD | -0.45 |
April | 0.698 USD | 0.7035 USD | +0.68 |
May | 0.70068 USD | 0.7036 USD | +0.2 |
June | 0.699 USD | 0.7027 USD | -0.18 |
July | 0.699 USD | 0.7047 USD | +0.14 |
August | 0.697 USD | 0.7033 USD | -0.24 |
September | 0.694 USD | 0.700 USD | -0.45 |
October | 0.685 USD | 0.694 USD | -1.09 |
November | 0.680 USD | 0.684 USD | -1.1 |
December | 0.678 USD | 0.681 USD | -0.37 |
Source https://walletinvestor.com/forex-forecast/cad-usd-prediction
In June 2024, analysts say the CAD dollars will continue to weaken in 2026. The CAD dollars exchange rate will move down from the corridor it was in in 2022-2024. At the same time, the CAD to USD forecast varies widely depending on the source.
End of 2026 CAD (Canadian dollars) to USD rate:
The experts at BeatMarket have a dollar forecast that the optimistic version of the Canadian Dollar forecast (CAD dollars) is more likely. In our view, it is highly unlikely that the exchange rate will fall below 65 cents.
Month | Minimum expected exchange rate | Maximum expected exchange rate | Change of average exchange rate, % |
January | 0.674 USD | 0.681 USD | -2.69 |
February | 0.673 USD | 0.676 USD | -0.44 |
March | 0.670 USD | 0.673 USD | -0.45 |
April | 0.674 USD | 0.679 USD | +0.74 |
May | 0.676 USD | 0.679 USD | +0.15 |
June | 0.675 USD | 0.678 USD | -0.15 |
July | 0.674 USD | 0.680 USD | +0.07 |
August | 0.672 USD | 0.679 USD | -0.22 |
September | 0.670 USD | 0.675 USD | -0.45 |
October | 0.660 USD | 0.670 USD | -1.13 |
November | 0.655 USD | 0.660 USD | -1.14 |
December | 0.653 USD | 0.656 USD | -0.46 |
Source https://walletinvestor.com/forex-forecast/cad-usd-prediction
The CAD to USD forecast promises a slight weakening of the CAD dollars in 2027. Compared to 2026, the Canadian dollars (CAD dollars) will depreciate by 2-4 cents.
Some platforms are predicting a slight increase in the CAD dollars exchange rate. The reason for this is the forecast that the Fed and the Bank of Canada will have synchronized their interest rate movements by this time. This will reduce the volatility of the CAD dollars and make it a more attractive asset.
Canadian Dollar Forecast (CAD dollars) at the End of 2027:
Month | Minimum expected exchange rate | Maximum expected exchange rate | Change of average exchange rate, % |
January | 0.650 USD | 0.656 USD | -6.54 |
February | 0.649 USD | 0.651 USD | -0.46 |
March | 0.645 USD | 0.649 USD | -0.46 |
April | 0.649 USD | 0.654 USD | +0.69 |
May | 0.652 USD | 0.654 USD | +0.23 |
June | 0.650 USD | 0.654 USD | -0.15 |
July | 0.650 USD | 0.656 USD | +0.15 |
August | 0.648 USD | 0.654 USD | -0.31 |
September | 0.646 USD | 0.651 USD | -0.39 |
October | 0.636 USD | 0.645 USD | -1.25 |
November | 0.631 USD | 0.636 USD | -1.1 |
December | 0.629 USD | 0.631 USD | -0.56 |
Source https://walletinvestor.com/forex-forecast/cad-usd-prediction
Both bearish and bullish scenarios are included in the CAD to USD forecast for 2028:
The main argument of the bulls is the forecast of the decline of both dollars against other ones. The reason for this is the size of the US national debt. Another positive factor for the CAD dollars is the forecast that the cost of a barrel of oil will rise to 110 dollars (USD) by 2027.
Bears are pessimistic about the Canadian dollars (CAD) and oil costs. BeatMarket analysts also expect the CAD exchange rate to fall. Our CAD to USD forecast (Canadian dollars to US Dollars) is 62 cents by the end of 2028.
Month | Minimum expected exchange rate | Maximum expected exchange rate | Change of average exchange rate, % |
January | 0.625 USD | 0.632 USD | -10.69 |
February | 0.624 USD | 0.627 USD | -0.48 |
March | 0.621 USD | 0.624 USD | -0.48 |
April | 0.625 USD | 0.630 USD | +0.8 |
May | 0.627 USD | 0.630 USD | +0.16 |
June | 0.625 USD | 0.629 USD | -0.24 |
July | 0.625 USD | 0.631 USD | +0.16 |
August | 0.623 USD | 0.630 USD | -0.24 |
September | 0.620 USD | 0.626 USD | -0.56 |
October | 0.611 USD | 0.620 USD | -1.22 |
November | 0.6063 USD | 0.611 USD | -1.13 |
December | 0.6042 USD | 0.6066 USD | -0.54 |
Source https://walletinvestor.com/forex-forecast/cad-usd-prediction
The long-term Canadian dollar forecast (CAD) to USD rates (US Dollars) is broadly neutral. Over the following 10 years, the CAD is expected to gradually weaken. The CAD is expected to depreciate against the USD (dollars).
But then the trend will change. Between 2040 and 2050, analysts forecast the exchange rate to recover. The Canadian dollar (CAD) has the opportunity to grow to and beyond existing levels.
Key Factors Affecting the Value of the CAD Over the Long Term:
The CAD will also be affected by the changing structure of the Canadian economy. If the Canadian Dollar (CAD) becomes less dependent on oil, this will be a positive factor.
According to Financialpost, the value of the CAD could fall to 50 cents in 10 years. This CAD to USD forecast is ground on 2 factors. The first is the belief in the strength of the USDs. Analysts forecast that the cycle of interest rate cuts will have a positive impact on the US economy. This will lead to an increase in the USD’s exchange rate against other currencies.
The second reason why the CAD to USD forecast is negative is the belief in green energy. There is an opinion that the development of technologies will lead to a decrease in the demand for oil. The effect of their implementation will be felt after 2030. This will have a negative impact on the cost of a barrel. This, in turn, will lead to a weakening of the CAD.
Most analysts have a negative CAD to USD forecast in 2030. According to the most popular opinion, the CAD (Canadian Dollars) will decline smoothly until the end of the decade. The dollar forecast of the CAD (Canadian dollars) value is 0.55-0.65 USD dollars.
However, some analysts are offering a bullish scenario for the CAD (Canadian Dollars). Their Canadian Dollar forecast (CAD) calls for an appreciation from the current exchange rate.
The most optimistic CAD to USD forecast for 2030 - 0.83 USD dollars. This is the opinion of experts who believe in the development of Canadian industry. They forecast that the country has an opportunity to significantly increase the investing attractiveness of the economy. This will lead to a strengthening of the Canadian dollars (CAD).
The CAD (Canadian dollars) is not a very popular currency. As a result, there is no authoritative long-term CAD to USD forecast for the exchange rate. Most available sources tend to believe that after 15 years, the exchange rate will swing back in favor of the CAD. And USDs (US Dollars) will become cheaper.
The Canadian dollar forecast (CAD) to the USD in 2040 is 70-85 cents. The actual value of the CAD will depend on the pace of economic development in both countries over the following 15 years. Another important factor for the CAD is the attractiveness of Canada as an investing destination for foreign capital.
The 2050 CAD to USD forecast promises to maintain or strengthen the position of the CAD. The dollar forecast of the CAD exchange rate is 70-90 cents.
This Canadian Dollar forecast (CAD) is grounded on the assumption that the economies of the two countries will develop at roughly the same pace. However, significant divergences in monetary policy can affect the USD to CAD exchange rate. Another unpredictable factor in such a timeframe is in the shift in the countries' trade balance.
Tied with the U.S. dollars (USDs), Canadian dollars (CAD) ranks 5th in global forex trading volume. CAD (Canadian dollars) accounts for more than 5% of turnover. This allows traders to count on key qualities such as:
There are several aspects to consider when making a Canadian Dollars forecast (CAD). The strength of the CAD (Canadian dollars) depends on Canada's trade balance. Primarily, it depends on the demand for oil and gasoline. Other commodities also play an important role in the country's trade balance. Their value also affects the CAD (Canadian dollars).
The second important feature of the CAD (Canadian dollars) is the close link between the Canadian and US economies. Therefore, the CAD to USD forecast should also take into account the situation in this country.
Unlike the U.S. dollars (USDs), the Canadian Dollars (CADs) is not a reserve currency. However, Canada has a relatively healthy economy. As a result, analysts often refer to the CAD (Canadian dollars) as a safe haven for investors.
These were the most successful years for the CAD. 1 The CAD (Canadian dollars) was worth 1.06 US dollars (USD). The reason for the strengthening of the CAD (Canadian dollars) was the forecast that the Bank of Canada would raise interest rates.
The CAD to US dollars (USDs) exchange rate reached its lowest level since 2005. This was due to pandemic restrictions. Their introduction led to falling oil costs. As a result, the CAD (Canadian dollars) became cheaper.
The CAD has been in a very long sideways trend. This Canadian dollars (CAD) vs. USDs exchange rate is due to the long overlap between the monetary policies of Canada and the US.
The CAD quotes are influenced by decisions made by the Bank of Canada, the Government of Canada and the Department of Finance. The main instrument of influence is the interest rate. The U.S. government and the Fed have an indirect influence on the CAD.
Canada is a major oil and natural gas producer. The CAD (Canadian dollars) quotes are correlated to the cost of a barrel of oil measured in dollars (USD). The CAD is less affected by the cost of grain, lumber, minerals, etc.
The CAD exchange rate is primarily influenced by the trade balance. Its deviation increases the volatility of CAD USD. Strong demand for exports strengthens the CAD. Another important factor for the CAD is inflation. It is measured by the CPI (Consumer Price Index) and the PPI (Producer Price Index).
In the perspective of up to 10-12 weeks, CAD is not recommended to buy. The CAD dollar forecast against the USD dollars is negative. The US Dollars (USD) are gaining strength. Technical indicators show a high probability of a bearish trend for the CAD.
Over the coming six months or so, the CAD will decline. The reason for this is the divergence in monetary policy between the Bank of Canada and the Fed. Another reason for the negative Canadian Dollars forecast (CAD) is pessimism about oil costs.
The CAD is an unsuitable asset for a long-term portfolio. The CAD to USD forecast is negative for several years. Analysts forecast that the CAD could lose almost a third of its current value.
In June 2024, the probability of CAD appreciation against the USD dollars is minimal. The decision to convert to the CAD as soon as possible seems prudent. The CAD exchange rate may depreciate.
Investing in exchange rate volatility rather than in the CAD increases risk. Derivatives are typically used for this purpose. And such investing does not allow the trader to wait out the period when the exchange rate moves against his position. Therefore, the probability of real losses is much higher.
When inflation in Canada is higher than in other countries, the volatility of the CAD increases. The level of inflation also affects the Bank of Canada's interest rate. And the difference in interest rate is another factor that regulates the CAD exchange rate.
A widening gap between Canadian interest rate and U.S. interest rate will cause the CAD (Canadian dollars) exchange rate to fall. Lower interest rate will make the CAD (Canadian dollars) less attractive as an investment.
The CAD to USD forecast for the coming months is usually reliable. Exception - moments of significant geopolitical or economic turmoil. The long-term USD dollars - Canadian dollar forecast (CAD) is less reliable. The longer the period, the higher the probability of unforeseen factors. They can affect both CAD and USD forecasts (Canadian dollars and US Dollars).
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